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NFL: Analysis of 2-0 vs. 2-0 Matchups

Posted by Andrew McKillop on September 22, 2011

Post Highlights

  • Since 1990, the winners of 2-0 vs. 2-0 matchups have made the playoffs 80% of the time.
  • Since 1990, the losers of  2-0 vs. 2-0 matchups have made the playoffs only 33% of the time.
  • Since 1990, a team that lost a 2-0 vs. 2-0 matchup has a 25% less chance of making it to the playoffs, than a team that is also 2-1 and didn’t play in a 2-0 vs. 2-0 matchup.

 

This Sunday the Buffalo Bills (2-0) play host to the New England Patriots (2-0).  It’s early in the season but it’s important to not underestimate the importance of winning a 2-0 matchup.  Since 1990, there have been thirty 2-0 vs. 2-0 matchups in the NFL.  The winner of such matchups has made the playoffs 80% of the time.  Meanwhile the loser of such matchups has made the playoffs only 33% of the time.  It appears a loss in a 2-0 vs. 2-0 matchup can be a real momentum killer.  Checkout the table below for a more complete analysis.

Playoff Odds Based off a Win / Loss in a 2-0 vs. 2-0 Matchup

Pct of Times in Playoffs Since 1990
All 3-0 Teams 75.9%
Without a 2-0 vs. 2-0 Matchup 74.4%
With a 2-0 vs. 2-0 Matchup
Winner 80.0%
Home Winner 84.2%
Away Winner 72.7%
Pct of Times in Playoffs Since 1990
All 2-1 Teams 54.9%
Without a 2-0 vs. 2-0 Matchup 58.4%
With a 2-0 vs. 2-0 Matchup
Loser 33.3%
Home Loser 27.3%
Away Loser 36.8%

 

Since 1990, a team that lost a 2-0 vs. 2-0 matchup has a 25% less chance of making it to the playoffs, than a team that is 2-1 and didn’t play in a 2-0 vs. 2-0 matchup.

The 2010 Green Bay Packers and 2001 Miami Dolphins, are the only teams  since 2000 (out of 15 games) to have lost a 2-0 matchup and still make the playoffs.

 

Listed below are all the 2-0 vs. 2-0 matchups in the NFL since 1970.

2-0 vs. 2-0 Matchups Since 1970

Year Won Lost Score
1970 Lions Bears 28-14
1971 Redskins at Cowboys 20-16
1973 Cowboys Cardinals 45-10
1974 Patriots Rams 20-14
1975 Bengals at Titans 21-19
1975 Bills Broncos 38-14
1975 Cowboys at Lions 36-10
1976 Chargers Cardinals 43-24
1976 Cowboys Colts 30-27
1976 Raiders at Titans 14-13
1977 Dolphins Titans 27-7
1978 Rams Cowboys 27-14
1979 Cowboys Bears 24-20
Year Won Lost Score
1981 Chargers at Chiefs 42-31
1981 Dolphins at Titans 16-10
1981 Eagles at Bills 20-14
1982 Dolphins at Bills 9-7
1983 Raiders Dolphins 27-14
1984 Raiders at Chiefs 22-20
1985 Bears at Vikings 33-24
1985 Rams at Seahawks 35-24
1986 Falcons at Cowboys 37-35
1986 Seahawks at Patriots 38-31
1989 49ers at Eagles 38-28
1989 Giants Cardinals 35-7
Year Won Lost Score
1990 Giants Dolphins 20-3
1991 Redskins Cardinals 34-0
1992 Eagles Broncos 30-0
1993 Browns at Raiders 19-16
1993 Saints Lions 14-3
1994 Chargers at Seahawks 24-10
1994 Dolphins Jets 28-14
1995 Chiefs Raiders 23-17
1995 Dolphins Steelers 23-10
1996 Packers Chargers 42-10
1996 Panthers 49ers 23-7
1997 Buccaneers at Vikings 28-14
1998 49ers Falcons 31-20
1998 Dolphins Steelers 21-0
1999 Titans at Jaguars 20-19
Year Won Lost Score
2000 Buccaneers at Lions 31-10
2000 Jets Bills 27-14
2001 Chargers Bengals 28-14
2001 Rams Dolphins 42-10
2002 Saints at Bears 29-23
2004 Eagles at Lions 30-13
2006 Bears at Vikings 19-16
2006 Colts Jaguars 21-14
2006 Saints Falcons 23-3
2007 Colts at Texans 30-24
2007 Steelers 49ers 37-16
2008 Cowboys at Packers 27-16
2009 Vikings 49ers 27-24
2010 Bears Packers 20-17
2010 Steelers at Buccaneers 38-13

 

Reference: Pro-Football-Reference.com, ShrpSports NFL Standings

 

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